The Independent Variable - Matt Haugland

Tuesday, September 25, 2007

Challening the Humans

After some hard work and long days last week, my weather forecast model is finally running on its own and producing daily forecasts for Cape Hatteras, NC.

Yesterday was the first day of the WxChallenge national forecasting contest, a 7-month competition among weather forecasters. The participants include approximately 1300 students and faculty from over 60 universities across the U.S. and Canada (including my alma mater SJSU and OU). We forecast for a new place every two weeks, starting with Cape Hatteras. Points are awarded according to the accuracy of the forecasts.

I'm not personally a contestant, but my model is participating along with the government models and the National Weather Service. My goals are to beat most of the other models and improve as the competition goes along. But it sure would be nice to be up there with the human forecasters. One of the reasons meteorologists get paid is because they can forecast better than models alone. If the USL Model can play at the same level as some of the best human forecasters in North America, it would be very exciting.


At 9:14 AM, Blogger Marcian said...

Good luck with this... I'm excited to hear the results.

At 10:26 PM, Blogger Norman said...

Could be something new to put on the NanoWeather website, which looks awesome, by the way.

At 10:00 PM, Blogger Jayson P said...

Matt, I saw the USL model being listed under the model forecasts and was interested in what it was. I've searched over the internet and finally came up upon your sight. You have any information on this model that I can view to learn about it? It seems to be doing fairly well so far this period. I'm involved as a forecaster in the WxChallenge, I'm also Iowa State Univ.'s local manager. Thanks


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